Not answering the question: How will you pay for it?

A question that floored poor Natalie Bennett on LBC the other day is one to which no credible politician can ever give a straightforward answer.  Natalie took “not answering the question” to another level in that she just clammed up, whereas most of the others would have had a preprepared spiel of soundbites (that don’t answer the question) ready to fill the gaps in the airwaves.  And there are those who love her for that, although I am not one of them. In my view she missed a crucial opportunity to put across some much more important points about Green Party policy on the economy and on climate change.

The fact is the economy is still in deficit. That means that the Government is already spending more than it is taking in tax. It has been doing so since the early 2000s (well before the financial crash of 2007/8). The last time debt fell as a proportion of GDP was 2003.  If the normal household rules of prudent expenditure applied to governments (they don’t, by the way), none of the promises being made by politicians can be afforded.

The true answer:

“The Government can pay for anything if it really wants to. There will, however, be consequences”.

The consequences depend mostly on what you spend the money on.

The authorities, including the Bank of England which despite its nominal independence is owned by and ultimately responsible to the Government, have spent a great deal of money on propping up the financial system since 2008.  They magicked the money from thin air, because the consequences of not doing so might well have been worse.  £325bn of quantitative easing has boosted the wealth of the richest half of the population by £600bn, and done nothing for the bottom half. Mostly by inflating asset prices, particularly property.

Spending money on social housing has different consequences. It creates  assets, owned by the public, that earn an income in the form of rent – so although the government debt goes up, it is balanced by assets on the other side of the balance sheet. Unlike private businesses, government doesn’t record the value of the assets it holds. (It should. It would make the debt look a lot less scary).  A lot of that rent will be housing benefit. People already in private rented housing on housing benefit will move into more secure social housing. Private landlords, who have been doing very well out of their tenants’ housing benefit  will lose out – the overall result will be more property available on the market, so that rents and house-prices will fall, or rise less quickly.  Some of them will get out of the game, and put their money somewhere else – maybe investing in startups and other productive enterprises. Now that would be a good thing. Paying housing benefit to public-sector social landlords is better for the deficit than paying it to private-sector landlords – the public gets a lot more of it back.

Social housing changes the way money is transferred to the private sector. Instead of going as rent to private landlords, for which the public gets nothing in return, it goes as construction costs and wages to builders and in return the public gets lots of good quality housing. It  boosts local economies – wages get spent locally, in cafes, pubs, shops. The simple act of building social housing has a redistributive effect and reduces inequality – it’s trickle-down that works.  Private sector rent goes to pay off buy-to-let mortgages, back to the banks and concentrates wealth at the top, where trickle-down doesn’t work.

Public sector social housing built to modern green standards, with proper insulation so no heating is needed will push up demand for the skills needed to build efficient homes. Those skills will be transferred to the private sector as well – particularly if Government also enforces tougher regulations on home insulation.

So if building lots of social housing is so good, how come it’s not in everyone’s manifesto?  Look at the losers: private-sector landlords and the banks.  That explains the Tories; and the fact is that the others do all plan to build more, it’s just that the Greens plan to build the most.

Oborne, honour and HSBC

The wires and waves are full of the story of Peter Oborne’s resignation from the Daily Telegraph.

I admire his integrity; he will find work, but whether he ever again finds such work is moot: not because he will not be in demand, but because the economics of news and comment is dramatically changing. That change is part of the problem with the Telegraph.

Oborne’s tremendous departing salvo is published on Open Democracy; if you haven’t read it, do so.  Paraphrasing, it is clear that he  regrets the passing of integrity in news journalism and exposes particularly egregious changes under the current management. Regrettable though they are, I think these changes are inevitable. The economics of online are different. Today, evidence of the Telegraph’s fall is clear to see; that its magnificent coverage of the MPs expenses was its swansong. The Times fell decades ago. The Mail has succeeded online only by peddling as click-bait soft porn and celebrity tittle-tattle.  The BBC lost its edge after the Hutton report; it has not since dared challenge government policy outside the Radio Four evening comedy slot. The Guardian is struggling, hoping that its membership scheme will help maintain its independence – pursuing a business model not unlike that adopted by Open Democracy.

But the Oborne story is important too in that it reveals even more of the disgraceful behaviour running through what was once a highly respected bank.

I suspect that certain residents of the island of Brecqhou have been making use of HSBC’s offshore banking services, provided on an island mere minutes by helicopter from their home, the reporting of which had been pulled from the Telegraph in 2012 and which started the train of events leading to Oborne’s resignation.  Of course I have no evidence; it is mere conjecture. And I am quite sure that nothing that the said islanders have been doing is in any way unlawful. After all they are quite rich enough to be able to afford the lawyers and advisers whose deft touch is enough to turn evasion into avoidance.  That is  in addition to the clear and disgraceful breach of editorial ethics over the paper’s reporting of HSBC.

The values that Oborne cherishes have been eroded at every level of the British establishment.  In the management of banks, in the administration of government departments and major companies, and particularly in the City of London. It is futile to try to repair the damage; the world has moved on – but there is an alternative. That alternative is transparency. That means that we should be able to see how the different trusts and companies that link the Telegraph to the Barclays and their other business interests are operated, where and how the money flows, and what tax is paid on it.

Syria, Ukraine and the abject failure of Western diplomacy

Syria is obviously a god-awful mess, despite the surreal nature of this morning’s interview between President Assad and Jeremy Bowen.  Meanwhile, President Obama is considering sending more weapons to the Eastern Ukraine, an area already devastated by civil war.

No sane person can look on these two places and think that anyone in power can have done the right thing. Both are symptoms of the abject failure of Western diplomacy.

Politicians, obviously, must take some of the blame. After all, we elected them and the buck stops there. But in foreign policy far more than domestic or economic policy their actions are controlled by an establishment, whether in the Foreign Office or the State Department. The late Robin Cook came to office as Foreign Secretary determined to implement an “ethical foreign policy”; an idea which met such determined opposition from the mandarins (and our allies) that he was forced to abandon it even before the Iraq war.  It is almost as if there is acceptance that foreign policy must be unethical.  Now I am not a foreign office insider, merely an interested observer, so my diagnosis is based on what I see and what I conclude rather than what I know.  I am putting forward a conjecture, which may or may not be correct,  to  explain this abject failure. It fits such of the facts as I am – we are –  allowed to see; and I should not be surprised if diplomatic insiders were to say, ah, yes, but if you knew what we knew but can’t tell you… Sorry, what was that about transparency?

It seems to me that Western diplomacy is still stuck in a Cold War mindset, where the first approach to any issue is to ask, “whose side are we on?”, or more specifically, “where do our interests lie?”.   It is not, “how can we prevent this conflict from worsening”, but it should be. Our interests are always in reducing or preventing conflict, and this will usually mean not taking sides. Yet in both Syria and Ukraine, the first thing we did was to take sides.  The analysis seems to be – “here there is conflict or potential conflict. One side will win. Which should it be for the best protection of our interests?”, and that is essentially a faulty analysis.  Perhaps it is even, “here there is conflict, our enemies have taken sides, so let’s do what we can to draw them in and bog them down”. I really hope that this sort of analysis doesn’t take place anywhere in any department paid for by my taxes, but I cannot be certain. Nevertheless, it is clear that “take sides first” does drive most Western foreign policy; and it should be equally clear in both Syria and Ukraine that it has been counterproductive. It has not worked. 

Instead, our approach should be, “let’s prevent this conflict”.  In fact, “let’s prevent this conflict even if it helps our enemies’ friends and an unpleasant tyrant stays in power”.  That’s difficult, but you have to think, if you were a Syrian person, would you rather still be living in a peaceful Syria under Assad’s tyranny, than in today’s devastated country or in a refugee camp in Lebanon or Turkey?  Our failure in Syria is because we took sides against Assad. In doing so, we prevented any of the various peace processes from taking place, because we – and our allies in the Syrian opposition – put an impossible precondition on the talks: Assad must Go.  It’s no use spinning it that the Russians put their precondition on too (“Assad must stay”) – the fact is, both sides had preconditions. And ours was more demanding.  Peace talks are always better than no peace talks. Peace talks without preconditions are better than no peace talks. Peace talks with our preferred preconditions – dream on.

Syria is a very complex situation. We got it badly wrong by taking sides. Assad is a tyrant, but he is a secular Baathist tyrant. His regime isn’t universally-unpopular. Syria’s Alawite,  Christian. Druze and Shia minorities still support it. The Sunni majority didn’t, and the opposition was backed by Qatar and Saudi Arabia.  Both of these are “on our side” – oil-rich Sunni tyrannies – while Iran and Russia backed Assad.  And from the mess has emerged Daesh, our enemy’s enemy.  Qatar and Saudi are players in a wider regional game against Iran, and neither of them has ever had any interest in creating a legitimate democratic government in Syria.  Democracy is anathema to both of them.  Political support for “the moderate Syrian opposition” was orchestrated in Washington, almost certainly funded by money from these tyrannies (Qatar and Saudi). But because we took sides, because we were too weak to say to this so-called moderate Syrian opposition, “Drop your precondition to peace talks or we will drop you”. Because we put taking sides before preventing conflict.

The same mistakes are being played out in Ukraine. Here, the issue is simpler; it’s Western triumphalism over Russia. The bear is wounded, so we poke it with a stick.  Our urge to take sides – particularly against our old enemy – has once again trumped the need for conflict prevention. If you lived in Eastern Ukraine, would you rather live in a semi-autonomous Russian enclave than undergo years of civil war? None of the above is not an option.  The Kiev government, which we so triumphally supported, is guilty of prolonging the war, of wanting absolute victory over the separatists.  We should, instead, be pushing for a plebiscite in Eastern Ukraine, as we should have done in Crimea.  Given a transparent, free plebiscite, the most likely outcome would have been a majority for autonomy within an independent Ukraine – capital Kiev, not Moscow. (the Crimean outcome would probably have been for reversion to Russia….) Democracy means self-determination, and self-determination is more important than arbitrary boundaries drawn on a map. The border between Ukraine and Russia   has no historic significance, it was – like the transfer of Crimea to Ukraine by a stroke  Krushchev’s pen – essentially decided by Soviet bureaucracy.  Territorial integrity is nothing more than a useful notion, it cannot be absolute and must be trumped by self-determination in a democratic society.  (Small-c conservatives in Madrid and London need to understand this too in respect of Catalunya and Scotland)..

There is, probably, still, just a window of opportunity to prevent all-out war in Ukraine. The opportunity to save Syria has, I fear, been lost to Daesh. But we will only prevent that war by stopping taking sides, and President Obama’s plan to supply Kiev with weapons is not going to help.  Conflict prevention must always be the primary goal of diplomacy, because conflict is always worse than the alternative.

Almost always. I don’t like absolutes.  But in Syria and Ukraine, the conflict was avoidable. We just messed up, at the cost of millions of lives.

Open-Book Accounting (and Apple…)

I have been ranting and wittering on about open-book accounting for years.

Let me explain again.

Since, today, almost all accounting systems are computerised, and since almost all computers are capable of being connected to the Internet, there is no technical reason why every ledger, every account, even every invoice in every Government department and every public and private company should not be made world-readable. We wouldn’t need to wait for today’s announcement to discover Apple’s extraordinary sales in the last quarter: a BingBot or GoogleBot would have been scouring their books and we’d have known, day by day, hour by hour, minute by minute how well they were doing.

Now I haven’t done the analysis, but I bet there was a noticeable upwards movement in Apple’s share price before the announcement – although, to be fair? to Apple, they do run a pretty tight ship when it comes to keeping information inside.  But if they did keep their accounts open, then there wouldn’t be sudden jumps in the share price. There would be no such thing as insider information. Traders and investors would always know, in real time, exactly how well they were doing, and could price accordingly. It would reduce the opportunity for risky but profitable stock-punting: true transparency always increases competition, and competition always decreases profits.

But open-book accounting isn’t just about opening everything up; it turns out it’s rather more complicated.

There are two sides to every transaction.  On the one side, a corporation or a state – an entity about which we as shareholders or citizens should HAVE THE RIGHT to know everything; on the other, often – an individual private citizen. And neither we, nor the state, have the right to know anything about what our fellow citizens do with their lives.  Our goal (well, my goal as a Transparency Extremist, and it should be yours too) is  Public Transparency, Private Privacy.  

The paradox of openness: better access control

If open-book accounting is to be adopted, then  accounting systems need to 
implement better access control, in order to keep the private bits private.

For the last few years, in my spare time as an amateur computer programmer, I’ve been developing computer code that will implement the sort of granular access control needed for open-book accounting. I’m now putting it together, first as a book-keeping system for small businesses who need to keep their team – including mentors and investors – informed in real-time.

I’m now at the stage where I need to assemble a team to help me take it further, faster.

You can find out more by looking at this presentation:  and by following my tech persona @platosys on Twitter.

What to do about Saudi Arabia

The death of King Abdullah is sad because every death is sad. King Salman is a chip off the old block; no change is to be expected.

On Twitter, I’ve often pointed to this excellent piece by Karen Armstrong. She explains how the Saud family and their tribal rivals have exploited and distorted the ascetic doctrines of Al Wahhabb to create today’s disgusting exemplars in Daesh and the “Kingdom of Saudi Arabia”. The latter is no more legitimate a state than so-called IS – neither Islamic nor a state.

One group is our enemy, the other our “ally”. Both are carrying out acts of the most barbarous cruelty. Both have access to oil; one controls and defiles the Holy Cities of Islam – the most recently egregious case being the public beheading of a woman in Mecca.

It seems, however, that the world is finally finding this hypocrisy nauseous. Louise Mensch this evening had a magnificent anti-Saudi rant on Radio 4 in which she quite rightly pointed out to poor Kim Howells, still trying to defend the indefensible, that ISIS/Daesh are really no worse than the al Saud family racket. Both utterly vile.

The al-Saud family is in an unholy alliance with the clerical establishment which in return for its exclusive control of doctrine is afforded unlimited power in the peninsula. They betray the ummah; exploiting Muslim Bengali workers who build the monstrosities that pass for modernism.

Even Kim Howells agrees that the Saudi regime is barbarous. But he offers only the argument that they are the least bad, most stable of a bad bunch. The Middle East is highly unstable, not made any better by our various interventions and betrayals (from Sykes-Picot onwards). Because they’re a bunch of Arab hotheads? The region has traditions of revenge and honour that don’t entirely belie this racist caricature, but that’s not the problem. The problem, of course, is the oil. It’s why we’ve always been interested in the area. In 1905, Winston Churchill as First Sea Lord made a decision that the Royal Navy, on which the Empire depended, would henceforth be fuelled by oil, not Welsh Dry Steam Coal. A decision that the Navy’s seamen certainly welcomed, because “coaling-ship” was an endless chore whenever ships were in harbour; pumping oil into bunkers was much easier. Time in harbour gave time for a “run ashore” in place of coaling, coaling, coaling, always bloody coaling. But Britain had no oil. It needed access to the oil in the Gulf for it new policy; and its naval base at Aden was essential for that. And the world’s thirst for oil drove the course of most of the wars of the twentieth century.

Oil begets money, and money begets corruption. The trillions of dollars that we have pumped into the economy of the Middle East is, far more than the doctrines of a eighteenth century ascetic Muslim scholar, the cause of the problem. Wahhabism is the vehicle, but oil is the fuel. No, not oil: our greed for oil. Dollars. Dollars are the problem. We pay them dollars for the oil and then grovel with them to buy our jets so we get some of the dollars back.

The solution, then, is to wean ourselves off oil. America begins to realise this, but its fracking/shale solution depends on high world oil prices, and high world oil prices are the problem. The answer is to stop using oil at all. Reduce the demand world-wide. It will hurt the Russians as well. I’m afraid that I expect that the present low oil price will, sooner or later, swing up again. But it doesn’t have to. We need to use the slack provided by low prices to push towards substitution. Invest in alternatives: we know what they are. Wind, solar, nuclear, and energy efficiency. We need a collective push to defeat the law of supply and demand, by keeping demand down even when the price is low. It can be done, it must be done both for the sake of the climate and for cutting off the flow of blood money to the Saudi despots.

The first piece of personal news on today’s iPM on BBC Radio 4 was, “my 94-year old mother joined the Green Party. It was her first Internet transaction ever”. Good to hear. The Green Party has a consistent position on Saudi Arabia. It, alone, is in a position to condemn without hypocrisy. I know Louise Mensch is now living in America, but based on today’s rant she’d do well to join the Greens.

The Oil Price – micro-Economics 101

So why has the oil price plunged so low, when it was so high only a few months ago?

Isn’t this very strange behaviour?

Answer: no.

Did you do basic economics? Ever?

What we are seeing is a phenomenon called Elasticity.

The thing is, supply and demand for oil are both relatively inelastic, that is, they change slowly. I still need to drive my car the same distance to work every day whether fuel is £1.10 a litre or £1.50. If fuel prices are high, I’ll be more likely to choose a more economical car when I buy a new one in a few years’ time; if they’re low, I might put speed or luxury above fuel economy.  But that’s for a few years down the line: now,  I still need to put forty litres of fuel in my tank once every couple of weeks, whatever the price.

It takes years (and billions of dollars) to bring new oil production on-stream. A low oil price today means that production projects due to come on stream in five or ten years’ time might get shelved now – not least because oil companies don’t have the surplus cash flow to finance the exploration and development; but the expensive wells drilled last year are still producing even if they’ll never cover the cost of drilling. You’d lose even more money by turning the taps off because the price is too low.

If the total world supply of oil is just a little bit below the total world demand, the price will rocket. Everyone needs that last barrel of oil. Conversely, if the supply is just a little bit over what’s needed, you can’t give the stuff away. Well, once all the storage tanks are full.

What’s happening now is that  production that was approved based on a $150 oil price is coming on-stream.  And people are driving the 70mpg cars they bought last year.

This phenomenon isn’t limited to oil; it’s most problematic with agricultural produce, which is why the EU has intervention pricing, which attempts to buy up stock when prices are low and sell them on to the market when prices are high. But even that didn’t really work, since if intervention prices are too high the inevitable landscape of butter mountains and wine lakes develops, and there was always political pressure from producers to keep the intervention prices high. Oil is such a huge global commodity that intervention would require spectacular amounts of money.  Saudi Arabia has huge oil reserves and flexible production – its wells are relatively shallow and mostly onshore, so they can be turned on and off at relatively low cost. It could, almost, be a swing producer; but it would mean ceding market share to the Russians and Americans and helping its sworn enemy on the other side of the Gulf.

So – volatile oil prices are nothing new. As we become a less energy-intensive economy globally, oil demand is likely to become unlinked from economic growth (the process is already happening), and therefore even more inelastic.  We may be in for five years of relatively low oil prices, and as high-cost, short-lived wells, including in particular US shale goes off-stream, the situation will flip and supply will fall below demand, we’ll see the $250 barrell, and the process will start again.

Taming Twitter Trolls

I follow a number of Muslims on Twitter, because we need to understand more than the tabloid toss that Muslim is a synonym for terrorist.

@TellMamaUK is an excellent and informative  account that monitors religious hate-crimes. Recently it’s been stepping up its rhetoric against Twitter and Facebook over their failure to delete offensive tweets and status updates, and to ban the users that post them.

The tweets that @TellMamaUK (and many others) complain about are odious. But most of them are also, frankly, laughable. It’s OK for me as a middle-class white male; I might find them less laughable if the rape and murder threats were directed against me, although I like to think I wouldn’t. There was a twitter-storm last year about similar threats directed against prominent women; and there’s also the whole #GamerGate business.  Twitter trolls are everywhere, and most of them are unpleasant.  Pathetic, sick individuals who are best ignored.  Apparently there are people on Twitter who support the rapist Ched Evans, a man so vile he doesn’t even accept that what he admits to having done (had sex with a nineteen year old girl who was too drunk to consent) is rape.  I don’t follow them. Someone so stupid is unlikely to be capable of anything witty or informative, and I don’t want my timeline full of rubbish.  They are the sort of people who will pick me up with, “Yes if Muslims are so great and rapists are so bad what about ISIS”.  The kind of moronic argument I really don’t want to waste my time with.  Ched Evans using lad-values and a mullah approving child-sex within marriage today because the Prophet married Abu-Bakr’s child Aisha when she was only nine are equally disgusting.

I only ever see the offensive islamophobic tweets because they get quoted by @TellMamaUK. I only got to hear about GamerGate on Twitter because I was seeing the other side of the argument in tweets by the smart, witty people I do follow.

I’m sure that Twitter and Facebook aren’t taking anti-Muslim bigotry seriously, but I’m not sure that tweet-deletion and user-banning is necessarily the right way to deal with it.  Restricting speech, even vile, moronic hate-speech, is something we should only ever do in extremis. It drives it underground; we end up relying on private corporations to police what is acceptable. That’s not OK. These social media companies are responsible, not to the public, not even to their users, but to their shareholders and thus, their advertisers who mostly pay for the service.  It’s certainly not inconceivable that they might decide that their best interests lay in censoring not the hate-speech but the whistle-blowers, the likes of @TellMamaUK.  Whats good for the goose is good for the gander….

So what do we do? The odious islamophobes and rape-apologists represent some pretty unpleasant values in our society, values we need to challenge. We need to give the victims the tools to deal with the threats; the police should take actual threats much more seriously.  (although we also need a good way of detecting jokes: remember #TwitterJokeTrial).  It’s very unlikely that any of the rape-threats are intended to be followed-up; but that makes them no less terrifying for the victim.

The best free-speech tools to deal with hate-speech are exposure, ridicule and ignorance.  Expose, ridicule, ignore.  The BNP was destroyed by the BBC inviting Nick Griffin onto Question Time (a strategy that hasn’t, unfortunately, yet worked for UKIP).

Hate-speech is a symptom of a broken society; it’s not the disease. Hate-speech from morons is best simply blocked or ignored; hate-speech from smarter people must be challenged.

It is a matter of jihad. We are all mujahideen in the struggle for decent, open values against bigotry and prejudice. In this jihad, I am firmly with @TellMamaUK, and proud to be an SJW in the jihad against #gamergate.

Contract and the Common Law

Most Anglo-Saxon conservative libertarians – a group with whom I have rather more sympathy than my leftist stance might suggest – place great store by the common law, the rule of which was asserted eight hundred years ago in the Great Charter of King John but whose roots go back to the earliest days of our humanity and which has evolved by precedent and practice to become the foundation of capitalist society, in two principles: that of contract and property. By contrast, the Civil Code imposed by a Corsican terrorist on the continent of Europe, relies on the artificial and somewhat alien notions of human rights developed by the Enlightenment philosophers of Europe, which are – under that code – superior to traditional rights of property moderated by contract.  I will admit that I incline to the idea of the rights of humanity, that there are some liberties which must trump that of  property. If not, as many early European settlers of America were wont to argue, a property right can subsist in a human being. The Thirteenth Amendment clarified that it may not.

The Founding Fathers of the United States were influenced by both traditions: the revolutionary and the established, the common law having been established on their continent since the settlement of Virginia.That they were, for the most part, already men of property, influenced them in retaining the common law rights of property their forefathers had brought from Europe and thus helped establish the capitalist nature of the United States from its foundation.  It is part of the mythology of America that the first peoples had no notion of property rights in land and were thus misled into selling Manhattan to mijnheer Stuyvesant for a pittance.

In a settled common-law jurisdiction, property rights can be transferred only by deed – including testamentary –  or by contract, and the whole edifice of capitalism is built upon these foundations. Contracts are the key to commerce.

In the common law, a contract is an agreement between parties, which binds only the parties. It cannot bind anyone not a party to the agreement; there must be an exchange of  valuable consideration; and the agreement must be witnessed. There is no requirement that it be in writing; the shake of a hand, before witnesses, is sufficient; and those documents which we nowadays somewhat lazily call “contracts”, are, in fact, merely paper embodiments of the intangible agreement. Old-school lawyers still draught a paper contract that “witnesseth…” and, before the signature, include the words “witness my hand this day”.  The document  witnesseth – that is, it provides evidence of – the agreement; but it is not the agreement itself. That is between the parties, and is intangible. To deny a contract, it may be sufficient to prove that, despite the evidence of the signatures, there was in fact no agreement between the parties – because, say, one did not read the document and the other knew that it had not done so.

Because contracts had to be witnessed, so they  could not be secret. In a dispute, a judge will hear the witness in open court. But it has become an aberration, lately, that contracts should be confidential.

This is not desirable in an open democracy. Secret deals – particularly those involving government – undermine our faith in commerce, and run counter to the principle of open law.

More simply, we can see that a great deal of public law rests on the principle that the legal system will support openness. The principle is most apparent in the case of patents: the state grants an inventor a monopoly, in exchange for publication of the invention.  In the case of contracts, the law upholds a contract made before witnesses – that is, in public; it doesn’t uphold one made in secret.  Or rather it shouldn’t.

We now live in a connected, digital age. Everything is indexed, searchable. Publishing stuff is easy – post it to Google Drive, or WordPress or any one of dozens of similar cloud operations – and select “share”. In the age of quill and vellum, publishing needed an army of scribes to make copies. So contracts should be published, witnessed and witnessable by all of us.  Ancient principles are upheld, not undermined if we do so.

“A contract is enforceable at law only to the extent that it is published”, and

“Any contract that is not published shall not be enforceable”, and

“Failure to publish a contract shall be taken as evidence of intention to deceive”

The Green Party – the Party for Enterprise

Having just joined the Green Party, on the basis of policy – every time I did an online quiz about political parties’ policies and my own views, I scored about 90% correlation with Green policies, about 40% with the LibDems, 30% Labour, 20% Tory and 10% UKIP – I’ve been going through their policies in detail, at the policy website here.

Strong on corporate governance, the stakeholder principle etc. Good on Industry.

But very little about enterprise, which is a shame – and, I would suggest, missing a trick.

Enterprise is the driving force behind any economy. It’s about people, motivated to make and sell cool stuff. It’s a thoroughly Green ideal. Implementing a Green economy needs enterprising people driven by Green ideals, to innovate – using ideas and technology to deliver more positive value – human health, comfort and enjoyment – while consuming less energy and fewer resources. Smart growth driven by human intelligence.

“Enterprise” as a political buzzword however has been hijacked by the right. They are not entitled to it. The conservative right defends vested interests; enterprise challenges them.  To the right, “enterprise” has come to be associated with the right to exploit both resources and other people. To the conservative right,  protecting resources and defending the vulnerable are portrayed as restrictions on “free enterprise”.  We, the Greens should challenge such talk. A Green economy needs green enterprise precisely because it is enterprise that conserves resources and supports everyone.

Small businesses, startups, innovators, sole traders and co-operatives – that’s where you’ll find enterprise, and lots of Green enterprise.  A Green government should be supporting them as much as possible; reducing the burden of regulation (without throwing the baby out with the bathwater – we need effective environmental and health-and-safety regulation); awarding public-sector contracts, etc.

Social enterprise is another buzzword hijacked by Cameron’s Big Society con. A mixed green economy (sounds like a salad..) has room for for-profit enterprise as well as community and social enterprise.  As Greens, we aren’t concerned with how the proceeds of enterprise are shared, so long as it is done fairly. Lots of small businesses are great at sharing their profits with their staff.  It’s a mistake to condemn “for-profit” as somehow less worthy than not-for-profit; the economy needs both.

But most of all, it needs enterprise. Green enterprise.

A Conundrum

Now, at the end of 2014, inequality in the USA is higher than at any time since about 1870. Also, the US currently has the highest growth rate of any developed country, currently about 5%.

Now I and others including the OECD have said that inequality is inimical to growth.

I have also said that I am an empiricist.

The evidence of the US economy and to a lesser extend the UK economy is that I am wrong about inequality and growth.

The alternative view is that this is a blip and that in the longer term US growth will be limited by its extremes of inequality.

I suspect strongly that the alternative view is correct and I and the OECD have been right about growth and inequality. One month’s, one quarter’s, or even one year’s data does not make a trend. But we will watch this space.

When the facts change, I change my mind.

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